If you are looking at distribution stocks as a source of income, quality issues are obvious. But timing can play a role in how well these investments earn you. The lower these shares are, the more shares you can buy, and the higher your effective yield.
In other words, you get more bang for your buck when you buy stocks at a discount.
As background, here’s a closer look at the three S&P 500Top dividend payers currently on sale. Any or all of them would be solid additions to most income investors’ portfolios.
Thirty years ago, Major Pharmaceutical as names Merc(NYSE: MRK ) They were the Titans. New science laid the foundation for a golden age, giving the biggest names in the business at least one blockbuster drug and at least one or two potential blockbusters in every company’s pipeline. For Merck, these leading products were Singulair, Januvia and Vioxx.
Since then, however, the industry has changed. It’s more crowded, and as such, more competitive. That’s why these companies aren’t growing their top lines as fast as they used to. Merck is no exception to this dynamic. That’s why the stock has generally underperformed the S&P 500 over the past 20 years.
Just don’t lose sight.
While the business’s glory days may be in the rearview mirror, what this company lacks in growth firepower it has more than made up for in reliable earnings and supported dividend growth every year for the past 14 years. Merck is simply using its size to develop new drugs or buy them. For example, the current best-selling cancer drug, Keytruda, was actually In 2009 it was a Schering-Plough acquisition award. And, now it’s the end of Keytruda’s commercial success. At least visuallyIt is currently paying for the rights to develop cancer treatments for Chinese biotech Lanova drugs in Phase 1 trials.
This is the new norm in the pharmaceutical world, and Merck, if not explosively, manages it well. Better yet, while the stock is now down 25% from its June peak, newcomers are looking at a roughly 3.3% dividend going forward.
There is no denying it. NikeS (NYSE: NE ) Fall from grace.
The athletic apparel brand’s stock has been flying high in the heart of the Covid-19 pandemic, boosted by consumers’ affinity for its products (particularly its sneakers). Then everything came unraveled. Thanks to a combination of supply and distribution snafus, consumer preferences, economic indifference and a lack of cognitive innovation In 2022, Nike’s business collapsed. Ditto for the stock, now down nearly 60% from the end of 2021 and still knocking on the door to lower lows.
But the sellers overshot their target.
That doesn’t mean Nike is out of the woods just yet. Revenue for the quarter ending in February is expected to fall 11% year over year, contributing to a nearly 10% decline in full-year sales. Footwear continues to be the biggest drag here and abroad.
Things are changing for the better. In October, former Nike executive Elliott Hill rejoined the company as CEO, beginning a relaunch of much of the company’s operations. In the same month, the company moved Tom Peddin to the position of vice president and general manager of the most important North American market. Although his main priority is still the same. That’s rebuilding the wholesale relationship Nike left behind a few years ago when the company expanded its direct-to-consumer … a task he was first charged with when he returned as VP of Marketplace Partners in July.
There is still work to be done. Stocks tend to predict rather than react. Assuming Hill and Peddie and all the changes they’re making continue to grow, Nike stock could — and should — take a turn for the better sooner rather than later. In the meantime, the expected future dividend is a respectable 2.2%.
By the way, this is the dividend collected for 23 consecutive years.
Last but not least, add PepsiCo(NASDAQ: PEP ) Beat down your list of premium stocks to buy. The stock is 26 percent below its 2023 midpoint, raising its projected dividend yield to an impressive 3.8 percent.
The reason for this stock’s long pullback is not hard to figure out. Inflation finally caught up. Revenue is basically flat year to date; The total amount so far has also decreased. Price hikes have led consumers to consider more affordable snack and beverage options. Many investors are unaccustomed to seeing this strong company suffer volatility, hence the stock’s steep decline.
Don’t get so hung up on the past that you can’t see a plausible future or even a present. Things are better here. For example, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that private consumer spending growth in the US between August and November held steady between 2.1% and 2.4%, along with income growth. And, while inflation is no longer slowing, it is stabilizing in the same range. Moreover, families can still save at least a small portion of their monthly income.
So what? This means that money is not as tight as it felt a year ago, or as tight as it seemed a year from now. Not only is PepsiCo enjoying future pricing power, but its own price increases are also slowing.
It remains to be seen when other investors start connecting these dots. But it feels like it will be sooner rather than later.
The Poet: With 52 consecutive years of annual dividend growth, you’d be hard-pressed to find a stock with a strong dividend yield.
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James Brumley It has no place in the said shares. He has positions in the Motley Fool and recommends Merck and Nike. The Motley Fool has Disclosure Policy.